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Monday, August 3, 2009

Searching For The Best FX System

By Tim Barnby

If you spend any time at all in forex (FX) trading forums you'll see constant questions like: "What's the best FX trading system?, what's the best free forex trading system, or where do I find good forex trading signals?" There are so many expert advisors (EAs), indicators, and systems available that it's nearly impossible for a novice trader to find a decent FX trading system, or one that produced consistent results. Still, given a little information, traders should be able to identify a system that will work for them. Any FX trading system worth following will have four traits:

The FX trading system will trade with the long term trend. The system will provide inflexible rules. The FX trading system will use a very limited set of indicators and will rely on an easily identified setup. Finally, the ideal FX trading system will provide a positive financial edge.

Whether you are trading stock, commodities, or a Forex market, following the overall trend should be your first priority. Trading against the trend might get you a few winning trades, but a prudent trader sticks with the overall trend. Chasing retracements is okay if you want a rush. If you want to make money, you need to manage your trading like a business. That means that we make purchases at a lower price than the projected sale price. Counter trend trading goes against that rule. There are several methods for determining a trend. I recommend the Blue Zone, or a similar method for determining the health of a trend.

The ideal FX trading system will provide you with an iron clad set of rules for trading. Your trading results will be tightly correlated to your adherence to rules. When selecting a trading system, make sure you can live with the rules. If you cannot, find another system. If you find that your emotions will not allow you to follow these rules, find another way to make money. A system will only work if you use it correctly and consistently.

When reviewing messages in the Forex trading forums, you'll often see charts. Some of these charts are so covered with indicators that you can hardly see the price action! The best FX trading system will only use a couple of indicators. The Blue Zone system, as an example, only uses three simple moving averages (SMAs). It uses these to determine the health of the trend. The best FX trading systems will couple these few indicators with setups that are incredibly simple and easy to identify. There are systems that use ascending triangles, multi-candle setups, and complicated crossovers. Those are just too complicated to be of much value, and in my opinion, lack consistency. The Blue Zone system uses a single candle setup. This single candle is highly predictive of reversals and will provide consistent results. Of course you have to know which times to trade it.

Finally, any FX trading system can be judged on one metric alone, the Financial Edge. Financial edge is a simple formula. It states: E= (AW*PW) - (AL*PL) Or, in English it states Edge equals the difference between the average winner times the probability of winning and the average loser times the probability of a loss.

Example System: Average Winner: 200 pips Probability of win: 15% Average Loser: 25 pips Probability of loss: 85% Edge = 8.75 pips.

The above example illustrates how important edge is and how unimportant percentage of winning is. We only won 15% of the time in the above example. Using the system consistently, however, would give us nearly 9 pips per trade! Our goal in forex trading is not to win more often. Our goal is not to win at all. Our goal is to make money. The sooner this is learned, the better.

When reviewing the numerous systems available for forex trading, if you remember the preceding facts, you'll be well on your way to finding or developing the perfect FX trading system. - 23210

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Managed Forex - Pros And Cons

By Bart Icles

Managed Forex Accounts involve the handling of a trader/client's investment by a duly licensed company or its designated representative/s to do Forex trading in their behalf. This can be an ideal alternative for any trader who deems it necessary to do Forex trading with defined and limited risks involved. The managing company constantly monitors market activities trends in a 24 hour basis, and then recommends to the client what to do when the need arises. Once the client is informed of the latest updates, they will then decide themselves on what possible actions to take.

Picking the right Forex company to manage your account is crucial to keeping your investments in the money making zone. Only hire a reputable and certified Forex management firm who has a good track record, and genuine references to offer. Before deciding to set yourself up with a Forex account with any company or individual, be sure to cover all the bases first by doing extensive research on them, and by contacting other Forex brokers for any valuable information that might otherwise be hidden or excluded by the firm in question.

Make sure you also understand the cost and fees involved the company charges for setting up an account with them. It pays to read the small print thoroughly before affixing your signature to the contract, otherwise you might end up on the losing side of the deal even just you're still just at the initial period.

Forex accounts offer the advantage of taking out most of the complex and crucial decisions concerning the market conditions and trends from an otherwise inexperienced trader, who would lose their precious investments if left to their own inadequate faculties. Forex management firms are in the know of most important inside information, access to real-time currency exchange rates, and crucial market indicators that can be used to help clients turn a tidy profit.

The downside to investing in a managed Forex account is their rather high investment requirements that may range anywhere from $10,000 to $20,000. Some management firms may offer staggered payment schemes or the like to fit some client's allocated budgets, but could still prove to be a disadvantage once the management firm makes bad investment decisions and loses a clients investment.

Forex trading is exciting and profitable once you know how it works and with a good managed Forex account. Invest in one now to see the desired results you've been missing before its too late - 23210

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Investing Made Smart With Today's Hot Stocks

By Ben Gosse

As an investor, I know that the right software can make a difference in my returns. I use a program in my trends following strategies that helps me decide which stocks to buy at what time and when to sell. It's not perfect, but it works most of the time. I have done some trading in hot stocks with mixed results. When I came across the Today's Hot Stocks newsletter, I was skeptical.

There are so many variables involved with hot stocks trading, I didn't see how a software program could accurately take everything into account. I never believe everything I read anyway. There are a lot of scammers ready to take your money and run. Given that the newsletter wasn't expensive, I decided to try out the newsletter for two months.

That was eight months ago and I have been pleased and surprised by the results that I have gotten using the newsletter and email alerts from Today's Hot Stocks. The program lets me know what and when to buy and when to sell. I don't have to agonize over my decisions. I've lost on a few stocks, but the ones I made a profit on more than covered the losses by a long shot.

I'm still not putting all my eggs in one basket, the best way to protect your money is to invest it with diversity in mind. I have to admit, though, that I'm really impressed at the returns I'm getting on hot stocks. Today's Hot Stocks news letter has made a believer out of me. I've done some trend following and I know how that software works, but my returns haven't been as reliable as with hot stocks.

I usually use different sources to research my investments and most of those sources are free. I was a little reluctant to pay for a newsletter, but I am glad I decided to pay attention to my friend, even though I thought he was crazy.

Since Today's Hot Stocks offers a sixty day trial with a money back guarantee, it's worth trying. If it doesn't work for you, you can always cancel and get a refund. I don't think you will though. I, personally, have had a better than 35% return on my investments since signing up for hot stocks.

Sure you can get free advice on hot stocks, but you usually get what you pay for. Free advice isn't necessarily good advice. The software used by hot stocks is remarkably accurate. OK, the market doesn't always behave predictably and sometimes you may suffer a loss, but the program does help to minimize your losses and takes your emotions out of the equation.

If you are serious about including hot stocks in your market strategy, I strongly recommend you try the Today's Hot Stocks newsletter, You have nothing to lose and you may find yourself surprised at how much you gain. I know I was. - 23210

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Get Started Trading Today - Quickly and Efficiently

By Alex Miller

If there is one thing that all of us having common, it is that we want to have things right now and do not necessarily want to have to wait for them. This is especially true whenever we are feeling rather urgent, as many of us are over the current economic situation. As a result of this urgency, many of us are ready to begin trading on the Forex market without delay.

Of course, getting involved in something as complex as the Forex market does take a little bit of time on your part and it would be a bad idea for you to jump right in, without knowing the basics. Although it would be impossible for us to teach you everything about the Forex market in a single article, we can teach you a few of the more important things that will help to get you up and running in no time.

The Forex market, similar to many other markets throughout the world is one that is inaccessible to individuals. Regardless if you feel that you are trading in real time or not, you are still going to have to do so through the use of a broker who is qualified to place the trades on the market for you. That is why the first thing that you should do whenever you are interested in trading on Forex is to look for a broker.

Although it certainly is possible for you to contact a broker directly, it is often much more convenient for you to do so through a forex platform. These platforms are an excellent way to increase your trading practices because they enable you to trade in real time over the Internet. Even though the broker is going to be placing the trades or is going to qualify the trades for you, you can still access the market through them without a delay.

One of the more beneficial things about working in with one of these platforms is the fact that they generally have a large set of tutorials available, even for the most raw beginner. By taking you by the hand and walking you through every step of the process from the beginning to the end, they will allow you to get comfortable with the entire trading process as quickly as possible.

There will eventually come a day whenever you feel as if you are comfortable trading on the market and you would like to be able to speed things along a little bit. The easiest way for you to do this is to download one of the forex systems that are available, usually in the form of a software program. They will automate some of the things that you need to do and make it much easier for you to accomplish what needs to be done to build up a nest egg.

If there is one thing that I can recommend to you more than any other, it's to step back for a few minutes and take in as much knowledge as you possibly can. This knowledge is going to benefit you for the long term and will help you to be as successful as possible. - 23210

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When The Out Of The Money Covered Call Writing Strategy Fails Miserably

By Marc Abrams

Incredible things have been promised by many websites and e-books regarding investment training strategies. One of the more common stock market trading strategies taught is to sell covered call options on stocks. These websites promise that you can earn up to 10% monthly returns using that very strategy. Sound good? Read on.

Under the right circumstances, impressive monthly returns can be achieved by selling out-of-the-money covered call options. This strategy has been successfully used by me. However, it is not without its disadvantages. The public has not been properly educated by the website and e-book marketers. This strategy is marketed as having low risk and being conservative. They leave you holding the bag when it all goes wrong.

When the stock market is rising in value selling out of the money covered calls works well. Additionally, when the stock market is neutral (not going up or down by any meaningful amount), this strategy also works well. Please tell me when the last time was that the stock market remained neutral for any length of time?

The current market seems to be bouncing all over the place. The Dow frequently moves as much as 200 points either way in a single day. This is not an ideal market for an out of the money covered call writer. Your profits will start to evaporate once the stock you are holding starts to decline. Believe me, those profits can evaporate very quickly. I have seen the value of a stock drop from $10 to $1 over night! An option sale will never yield enough premium to cover that kind of a loss.

The key to out-of-the-money covered call writing is to select stocks that will get called. Many so called experts do not want the stock to get called. They want you to keep the stock so you can sell a covered call option on it the next month. This strategy is flawed. You need to select stocks that are trending up in value, hence, a rising market. Those stocks will make you the most money. If the stock gets called, I know I ended up making my maximum anticipated return.

What if the stock shoots way up in value? If the stock shoots up through the strike price and remains there at expiration, it simply gets called away. Isn't that what you wanted to begin with? You may think you left money on the table by not being able to participate in those gains. If that upsets you then just buy the stock outright and don't sell covered call options on that stock. Instead, let the stock get called away and take your profit for the month. Then look for another stock to buy and sell calls on for the next month.

Remember, selling out-of-the-money covered calls can provide an excellent source if income in a rising stock market. However, this strategy is less than ideal in a stock market like the one we find ourselves in today. There are, however, other strategies that will offer significant protection in a volatile or declining stock market. - 23210

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