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Friday, August 7, 2009

Trading The Breakout (Part II)

By Ahmad Hassam

When prices move out of a price range, then back into the price range and then breaks out of the level again, stopping both breakout traders and faders at least once, whipsaw takes place. When there is a lack of momentum or the breakout is small and weak, a whipsaw breakout usually occurs.

Reasonably placed stops can help preserve your capital when the price breakout does not go your way. Some times the price action is so choppy that it is better to stay out of the market. Breakouts all carry some risk of failure.

Successful trading of a reversal breakout obviously means massive profits in the shortest possible time. The important thing is to identify a breakout with a false breakout. How do you know if a breakout is going to reverse the current trend?

There are some chart patterns that can help in identifying a likely breakout. You should look out for these reversal chart patterns that tend to serve as harbingers of a trend change. There is a high chance that a reversal may be in the works if you spot these chart formations in daily or weekly charts. Examples of such patterns include head & shoulder, double top, triple top, double bottom, triple bottom etc.

Momentum indicators also known as oscillators are leading indicators. You can also make use of the momentum indicators to tell you if a trend is nearing its end in addition to looking for these chart patterns. They help in identifying a trend reversal before time.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is one of the simplest, yet most dependable indicators for a trader. MACD consists of three exponential moving averages (EMA). The MACD line is the difference between the 12 period EMA and 26 periods EMA. Usually a signal line consisting of 9 period EMA is plotted together with the MACD line.

A better visualization of the MACD is in the form of a histogram. A bullish signal is given when MACD line crosses above its signal line. A bearish signal occurs when the MACD line crosses below its signal line.

The MACD histogram tracks the speed of the price action. For example, if the price move accelerates with an upside breakout to a higher level as more and more buyers enter the rally, the histogram should become bigger.

Each line becoming longer than the previous line as the speed of the price movement accelerates in a quick rally. Each line will become shorter than the previous line. When the price movement decelerates, the histogram will contract on the other hand.

You can detect trend reversal breakout with the help of a MACD divergence signals. When the currency pair rallies to a new high but the MACD histogram declines then a bearish divergence is formed. Read the next part of this article for more. - 23210

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The Forex Pip Defined

By Bart Icles

In Forex trading, a Pip or Percentage In Point or Price Interest Point, is the smallest change in price of a given exchange rate. New traders to the market should have a thorough understanding of the concept as they will encounter this term all the time when doing currency trading.

Since transactions in Forex involve very large sums of currency and Forex spreads are usually very small, currency pairs are quoted to the fourth decimal place to be accurate. This is what is known as a Pip, or the smallest change of a currency pair. Take for example the currency pair of USD/EUR, quoted at 1.2345 and changes to 1.2346, the change in Pip would be 1. And if it changes from 1.2345 to 1.2305, the corresponding Pip change would be 40 Pips. Presently, there are 6 widely-traded currency pairs or called the majors, which are the following:

* EUR/USD, also called the 'EURO" * GBP/USD, also called the "CABLE" * USD/CHF, also called the "SWISSIE" * USD/JPY, also called the "NINJA" * USD/CAD, also called the "LOONIE", or "BEAVER" * AUD/USD, also called the "AUSSIE"

The EUR/USD is the most traded major by an average of 100 Pips a day.

Profits and losses are measured in Pips for any paired currency, though the Pip for a USD/JPY or US Dollar/Japanese Yen is not the same value as the Pip of a USD/EUR, or US Dollar/Euro, as it is quoted only at two decimal places; so the yen's Pip value is .01.

If the currency pair of USD/JPY moves from 110.95 to 111.00, it has gained 5 Pips. If the USD/CAD goes from 1.0234 to 1.0224, it lost 10 Pips. So if the USD/JPY went from 77.48 to 77.53, the increase would be 5 Pips. If you trade with the majors' like the AUD/USD and the exchange rate is at 1.9876, then 1 Pip for this trade is .0001, since it is set four decimal places.

When a trader says "30 Pips", it means thirty units of value in a trade. You might want to check carefully the individual currencies that you plan trading on to know what their respective Pips are, as these do vary. It may be confusing at the start, and the figures might seem a little formidable at first, but once you delve into Forex currency trading regularly, it'll soon grow on you.

The important thing to remember is that most currencies are placed at the fourth decimal place, such as those paired with the USD, or .0001, except the Yen. If you always keep in mind what a Forex Pip is, as also that each respective currency pair has a different value to it, you'll do well in your everyday trading. - 23210

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Emotions in Forex Trading

By Ahmad Hassam

The most crucial element for a successful trader is to maintain a healthy psychological outlook while trading. This is often overlooked by many traders. No matter how skilled you may be as a trader, you need to be emotionally strong. At the end of the day, if you are unable to cope with the stress of the currency market fluctuations and unpredictable nature, you will not withstand the test of time.

Good traders need to be emotionally detached in making trading decisions. Your trading decisions must be independent of fear and greed. One of the attributes of good traders is that they accept losing. They make decisions based on an intellectual level. Traders who get emotionally involved in trading make substantial errors. After a few losing trades, they try to whimsically change their strategies or after a few winning trades become carefree.

Good traders are emotionally balanced. In the midst of a losing streak, they try to take a break before fear or greed starts to dominate their strategy. You cannot win every trade; you must be psychologically strong enough to cope with losses. Even very successful traders go through stretches of losing trades but they are emotionally strong enough to cope with it.

If you are going through a bad stretch in your trading, take a few days off from watching the markets. Try to clear your mind. You should think of taking a break. It can breed greater losses and ruin your psychological confidence, if you keep on trading relentlessly during tough market conditions.

Make no mistake about it. No matter how much you study, practice and trade; there will be losing trades throughout your trading career. The key is to make them small enough in order to live to trade another day. You can overcome a lot of bad luck in your trading by using good money management rules.

You need to control your emotions in order to become a master trader. One constant is the human emotional behavior despite many new methods that have been introduced to traders. After all, markets are just people selling and buying. Markets are only a reflection of investors emotions.

Buy on a rumor and sell on a fact. People afraid of losing their money start to sell on rumors. Fear of losing money makes the market prices go down. People become greedy and buy trying to catch a free ride. Fear of losing a good opportunity makes the market prices to rise up and up, creating a bubble.

As a forex trader, you learn technical analysis to help capture profits from a movement in the price. You should understand and learn how price action takes place by developing a forex trading system that is ruled based and does not depend on emotions to make decisions.

The best method to overcome emotions in trading is to develop a trading system that is ruled based and mechanical in nature. Trading is an art. There will always be 10% of discretionary judgment in each trade. Develop a trading system that has clear cut rules for entering and exiting a position. Use those rules consistently. There maybe a few losses as I have said there is always the chance of 10% going wrong. But with a good forex trading system, you can be sure the number of winner will be greater. - 23210

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3 Easy Ways To Find Out How To Decrease Your Car Insurance Rates

By Ann Koch

There are numerous ways you can do to drop your car insurance rates and help you gain a more ideas how car insurance works. If you are aware of schemes to decrease your car insurance rates, you will surely save a large amount of money in your lifetime. So heed these 3 easy techniques to save on auto insurance.

The easiest way to save on any insurance policy is to shop around. The best part about this is, anyone can do this under five minutes by just completing an online quote form. No matter what your credit rating, driving history, or age, you can save money on your premium by comparing car insurance rates with multiple companies.

The next best thing in shopping around for car insurance is to just drive carefully. Be obedient to traffic rules, and steer clear of minor offenses like speeding so you can save a large amount of cash. Your driving history is most likely the most important factor that a car insurance company considers when solving your premium. It pays to be careful, and make sure your driving record is clean.

And Lastly, anyone can save money on their car insurance by increasing their premium. The more you are willing to pay out of your pocket means that's less money the car insurance company will have to pay when you submit a claim. Again, anyone can qualify for this type of discount. Of course, you have to be able to afford your deductible if an accident does occur.

To throw one more tip to save on your car insurance, maintain good credit. The better credit score you have, the lower your rates for car insurance will be. The insurance companies will take your responsibility into consideration when making you an offer. If you have bad credit, don't worry because you can still get a discount on car insurance by simply building up your credit. This may take some time but it's worth it. Your rates for everything will go down with a good credit rating.

Use these simple techniques in lowering your car insurance rates, and you will be saving thousands of dollars in your lifetime. If you refuse to follow these guidelines, then prepare to pay for higher rates for car insurance. These pointers are simple to follow so utilize them to save on cash. There are other aspects to consider when considering you car insurance rates, but this is just a short guide. - 23210

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Forex Trading - Making High Profits Will Always Involve Risks

By Jimmie Harrison

We understand that you are here because you are interested in forex trading. Many individuals here about forex, but they are not really sure what it is. You have some that know for a fact that they could make money out of it, but they are not sure where to go or whom to ask. Well, right now, we can tell you that you are not alone in this situation. Many individuals think they know all about Forex trading, but in reality, many of them are under the belief that it is about bonds or stocks. You see, it is deeper than bonds or stocks. With this trading, it will involve trading currency pairs.

The currency that is chosen for trading purposes is deemed above the others. Why? Because they are more stable and they also have a higher value than any of those other foreign currencies. If you are a newcomer to the world of forex, then it would be a good idea for you to listen to what the experts have to tell you. There are many tips and tricks you will be able to read online. We highly recommend you taking advantage of them.

People throughout the world are participating in forex trading. There are so many opportunities through trading that individuals, organizations and firms are benefiting each year. Those benefits are rapidly growing as the process becomes even more popular.

We tell you, there are so many benefits with forex trading and many companies, industries and individuals are taking advantage of it. We believe you should get out there and take advantage of it as well.

The truth is that if you really want to earn high profits, you will be at high risks. There is no way you can escape from those risks and still be involved with trading. Simply put, a higher rate of profit means that you are at higher risk. Does any of this make sense to you?

It just goes without saying that the more profits you want to bring in, the higher your risks are going to be. We know, this is one of the sayings that chase many individuals off and if you do not feel like you have money that you are willing to put on the line, then you may want to back out of it.

Do you want to earn high profits? If you answered yes to this question, then you will need to take high risks. Those high risks are what chase many individuals off and we completely understand this. In order to know what you are doing, you will need to do your homework on this subject.

This means you need to take the time to read over what the experts have to say. During this time, jot down any notes that you think you could use.

As you have decided to turn to forex, you may not be a professional trader right now and you may never be, but having a little bit of common sense will take you a long way. - 23210

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