Trading Strategy - Ascending Triangles Downside Breakout
The ascending triangle can be traded on the short side entering the trade as the stock breaks out of the pattern to the downside. The pattern forms when the two boundary lines that contain the price movement converge to a point. The bottom line slopes up toward the top line which is horizontal.
Ascending Triangles Can Be Profitable Short
Ascending triangles are definitely not one of the most predictable patterns that are available to trade short. With just 36% of the patterns breaking down ascending triangles also don't deliver good returns when they do. The average drop is 0.31% in 9 days with about half of the breakouts (44%) being profitable. These results aren't great, but selecting the right conditions can make trading ascending triangles better.
Improve Your Trades
Short breakouts from ascending triangles work better in falling markets which is clear from the results that were achieved in 2000, 2002 and 2008. The best short trades occur at market turning points. The market and the stock should be in an up trend or consolidating, with the sector consolidating or falling for the best results when trading ascending triangles short.
A breakout from an ascending triangle is best if it occurs later in the pattern, in fact all the way to the point of the pattern is good, but not near the start. The best trades occur when a down side break occurs after the stock bounces off the lower boundary and drops back before hitting the upper boundary.
If the volume supports the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way down is higher than the volume on the way up.
Short Trading Ascending Triangles Can Be Profitable
You can improve your trading results by using a series of simple filters that have been outlined here. This select group of ascending triangles delivers an average profit of 1.07% in 10 days and is profitable on 52% of the trades. Overall this makes ascending triangles mildly attractive to trade on the short side.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23210
Ascending Triangles Can Be Profitable Short
Ascending triangles are definitely not one of the most predictable patterns that are available to trade short. With just 36% of the patterns breaking down ascending triangles also don't deliver good returns when they do. The average drop is 0.31% in 9 days with about half of the breakouts (44%) being profitable. These results aren't great, but selecting the right conditions can make trading ascending triangles better.
Improve Your Trades
Short breakouts from ascending triangles work better in falling markets which is clear from the results that were achieved in 2000, 2002 and 2008. The best short trades occur at market turning points. The market and the stock should be in an up trend or consolidating, with the sector consolidating or falling for the best results when trading ascending triangles short.
A breakout from an ascending triangle is best if it occurs later in the pattern, in fact all the way to the point of the pattern is good, but not near the start. The best trades occur when a down side break occurs after the stock bounces off the lower boundary and drops back before hitting the upper boundary.
If the volume supports the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way down is higher than the volume on the way up.
Short Trading Ascending Triangles Can Be Profitable
You can improve your trading results by using a series of simple filters that have been outlined here. This select group of ascending triangles delivers an average profit of 1.07% in 10 days and is profitable on 52% of the trades. Overall this makes ascending triangles mildly attractive to trade on the short side.
Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23210
About the Author:
Jeff Cartridge has been trading CFDs since 2002and created the website LearnCFDs.com Discover Chart Pattern Secrets
posted by X - Men @ 1:59 AM
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