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Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Economic Factors That Move the Forex Markets in the Short Term

By Hass67

There are two trading strategies. One strategy depends on fundamental analysis in trading forex. The second strategy depends on technical analysis in trading forex. Whether you use fundamental analysis or a technical analysis as a trading strategy, you should understand the importance of economic data in shaping trading strategies.

Over 90 percent of currency transactions are done against USD. USD is either the base currency or the counter currency in most of the currency trades.

Since majority of the currency trades involve USD, you as a forex trader will also most probably trade USD most of the time. Release of certain economic data has significant and lasting impact on currencies like USD.

With experience, you will understand that currency markets reaction to the release of different economic data with time also changes. A few years back, US GDP figures used to be important for USD but they dont have much impact now.

EUR/USD is the most liquid pair in the forex market and is heavily traded. The release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on the first Friday of each month has become important in recent years. These figures makes EUR/USD and other pairs involving US Dollar highly volatile for some time until the markets digest the importance of these figures.

Some years back, the release of US housing sales number figure every month was not significant for the currency markets. But these figures have become very significant for US Dollar in the recent years especially after the US housing market crash. Forex markets used to give more weight to US Trade Balance figures in the past but they dont react to these figures much now.

If you depend on range trading as a trading strategy, you should avoid the day NFP data is released for trading. This is a highly volatile and jittery day for the forex market.

However, as a breakout trader, understanding of which economic data is expected to be released can help you in your trading. You should plan your trades in accordance with the importance of the economic data to be released.

In brief, knowledge that certain economic indicators make the forex markets move most is important for you as a trader. It is also important for you to know that particular economic data, the market considers most important at any point in time.

Knowledge of which economic data causes knee jerk reaction in the currency markets and which economic data usually has lasting reaction in the currency markets is also important for your trading success. - 23210

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